Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.216695 0.251603 0.290379 0.336656 0.390405 0.450894 0.524180
2025-05-04 0.164013 0.211161 0.269179 0.345885 0.444765 0.568131 0.734066
2025-05-11 0.133723 0.184889 0.252462 0.348368 0.481271 0.659396 0.917086
2025-05-18 0.111585 0.163475 0.236055 0.345186 0.505597 0.733527 1.083501
2025-05-25 0.093296 0.143669 0.217701 0.334704 0.515668 0.786133 1.223408
2025-06-01 0.083805 0.134960 0.213556 0.343461 0.553804 0.882815 1.440096
2025-06-08 0.074521 0.124990 0.205726 0.344724 0.579386 0.961988 1.638185
2025-06-15 0.067798 0.118076 0.201569 0.350853 0.612830 1.056745 1.872928
2025-06-22 0.059785 0.107820 0.190402 0.343334 0.621551 1.110181 2.042253
2025-06-29 0.053695 0.100078 0.182470 0.340194 0.637056 1.176398 2.241673
2025-07-06 0.049221 0.094653 0.177905 0.342386 0.662153 1.262162 2.487300
2025-07-13 0.047158 0.093457 0.180874 0.358911 0.716007 1.407243 2.864652
2025-07-20 0.044623 0.091127 0.181588 0.371503 0.764481 1.549201 3.257663
2025-07-27 0.042021 0.088352 0.181130 0.381746 0.809665 1.690450 3.669027
2025-08-03 0.038935 0.084176 0.177318 0.384489 0.839416 1.803353 4.034652
2025-08-10 0.035613 0.079078 0.170970 0.380974 0.855156 1.888274 4.349650
2025-08-17 0.031983 0.072856 0.161493 0.369392 0.851542 1.930477 4.573189
2025-08-24 0.030427 0.071084 0.161495 0.379068 0.897173 2.087637 5.084577
2025-08-31 0.028395 0.067964 0.158108 0.380464 0.923609 2.203805 5.512964
2025-09-07 0.026918 0.065972 0.157063 0.387235 0.963623 2.356397 6.050799
2025-09-14 0.024610 0.061694 0.150163 0.378928 0.965591 2.417392 6.364984
2025-09-21 0.022814 0.058473 0.145438 0.375458 0.979265 2.508834 6.770276
2025-09-28 0.021507 0.056335 0.143135 0.377880 1.008394 2.642789 7.306653